by Scott Creighton
I’m watching some of the early Brexit results coming in on BBC World tonight. I’m going to report on them as they come in but I wont stay up all night. It’s currently
7:30pm 10:22pm eastern here in Florida.
(check after the break for earlier results) (voting results are rough estimates)
156 of 382 areas reported in thus far: “Leave” leads by 204,000 votes
Seems that the “Stay” establishment on the BBC are getting worried. This is much closer than they imagined a week ago. From what I can gather from their interviews with both pundits and “Stay” voters, they are dismayed at the negative campaign run by the “Stay” crowd over the last few weeks. Calling “Leave” supporters racists, anti-Semites and nationalists seems to have missed the mark. Truth is, they seem to be saying, is there is a very real anger rolling through the green hills and shires of the UK and perhaps they should have spent more time addressing that rather than simply insulting the downtrodden, neglected, working class people of Britain.
The UK is divided much like this country and very much on the same lines. One pundit was saying “See? I told you we shouldn’t put it to a referendum”. Yep. Sounds like Kissinger getting mad at Chile for “voting the wrong way”. It sucks when democracy gets in the way of the status quo doesn’t it?
The general feeling is that “Leave” may actually win. But again, it’s very early.
I’m going to take a break for a while. Each side has about 400k votes right now. “Leave” leading but remember, the first outlying counties and areas are full of working class folks while the big boys of London and others are sure to vote “Stay” and that will have a dramatic effect.
They say they expect the first side to get to 16 million votes will win and that is a long way off as far as I can tell. I will get back to this a little later.
14 of 382 areas reported in thus far: 397,000 “Leave” to 384,000 “Stay”
Kettering – “Leave” 61% to 39%
Shetland – “Stay”
9 of 382 areas reported in thus far: 266,000 “Leave” to 259,000 “Stay”
Foyle area came in at about 19k lead for the “Stay” camp
Scilly voted 621 “Leave” to 821 “Stay”
Swinnon voted 61,000 “Leave” to 51,000 “Stay”
Broxbourne voted 33,000 “Leave” to 17,000 “Stay”
5 of 382 areas reported in thus far: 161,000 “Leave” to 158,000 “Stay” @ 7:42pm eastern
At this point there are 5 areas reporting in thus far. Gibraltar, Clackmammanshire , Orkney, Newcastle and Sunderland.
Before Sunderland reported in, the “Stay” votes had a substantial lead of about 27,000 votes. Gibraltar voted over 90% to stay in the EU and that padded the results pretty heavily.
Newcastle was expected to be a good win for the “Stay” crowd, but the count turned out to be around 51% to 49% which was much closer than anyone had expected.
The turning point was Sunderland. That count was about 51,000 to “Stay” verses 82,000 to “Leave”
Immediately after that result was reported, the pound sterling started taking a beating in global markets. It’s dropped by over 6% against the dollar at this time.
Only 5 of 382 areas have reported in so far and the count is 161,000 “Leave” to 158,000 “Stay”
When I update this I will update it above the fold from the top down so you don’t have to scroll through everything to see latest results.