Erdoğan Calls Putin’s Bluff: Russia Backs Down

by Scott Creighton

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

A few days ago Russia, displeased with Turkish leadership’s refusal to publicly apologize for the premeditated downing of their fighter jet, said they had “more evidence” that Turkey was engaged in buying the stolen Syrian oil from ISIS™ and they promised to release the evidence to the public.

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan of the Justice and Development (AK) Party, immediately reiterated that he knew nothing of any program, official or not, involving Turkey buying this oil and challenged Russia to produce it. Erdoğan said it’s well known who is really buying the oil from ISIS™ (which I have covered in previous articles) but if it turned out that the Russian evidence was solid and Turkey had been buying some, he would resign immediately.

It should be noted, aside from my article and those that I referenced showing Turkey was not buying oil from the thing called ISIS™, it’s also a pretty well established fact for those paying attention.

Most analysts agree that Turkey is not buying oil directly from ISIS, but it is possible that some distributors are buying oil from ISIS and selling it in Turkey. Russia Today and Reuters and APA (Azerbeijan) and Guardian (London)  Breitbart

Yes, that is war-mongering, neocon-loving, Erdoğan-hating Breitbart that had to admit, Turkey is not directly buying stolen oil from Syria. But someone is. And that is who Erdoğan was referring to in his statement.

As to those “distributors”? Well… let’s just say it’s no wonder the MSM and  most “alternative” websites out there aren’t really talking about them.

Israel has bought as much as three-quarters of its oil from Iraqi Kurdistan in recent months, the Financial Times reported Sunday.

According to the report, which cited shipping data, trading sources and satellite tanker tracking, Israeli refineries and oil firms have imported more than 19 million barrels of Kurdish oil over the course of three months, from the beginning of May to August 11. Haaretz

IS sells Iraqi and Syrian oil for a very low price to Kurdish and Turkish smuggling networks and mafias, who label it and sell it on as barrels from the Kurdistan Regional Government.

It is then most frequently transported from Turkey to Israel, via knowing or unknowing middlemen, according to al-Araby‘s investigation…

Al-Araby has obtained information about how IS smuggles oil from a colonel in the Iraqi Intelligence Services who we are keeping anonymous for his security.

The information was verified by Kurdish security officials, employees at the Ibrahim Khalil border crossing between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan, and an official at one of three oil companies that deal in IS-smuggled oil.

The Iraqi colonel, who along with US investigators is working on a way to stop terrorist finance streams, told al-Araby about the stages that the smuggled oil goes through from the points of extraction in Iraqi oil fields to its destination – notably including the port of Ashdod,Israel. …

Once in Turkey, the lorries continue to the town of Silopi, where the oil is delivered to a person who goes by the aliases of Dr Farid, Hajji Farid and Uncle Farid.

Uncle Farid is an Israeli-Greek dual national in his fifties. Al-Araby

Someone did want Russia to stop bombing those oil convoys heading out of Syria with the stolen oil. That’s IS why the Turkish military shot down the Russian fighter. All of that is true. But who was behind it?

When President Erdoğan told the Russians he would resign if it turned out that Turkey had been purchasing the ISIS™ oil, what was he really doing? If he knew it was happening and Turkey was benefiting from it, seems to me he giving the Gulenists all the ammo they needed to get him, and more importantly, his political party out of power.

It seems to me that he already knew they didn’t have evidence showing Turkey was buying the stolen oil and he also knew who was really buying it. So he invited Russia to release their evidence.

His bluff worked. Russia backed off their threat this morning:

Information about Ankara’s oil purchases from the terrorist organization calling itself Islamic State (outlawed in Russia) is crucial to fighting against terrorism, and not finding faults with the Turkish leadership, Russian presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov said, when asked if Moscow would make public evidence at its disposal Ankara had been purchasing crude oil from the Islamic State.

Earlier, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that should any such evidence come to the surface, he would be prepared to resign.

“This is not a new statement. In this case it is most important to have information at one’s disposal and to use it in efforts focused mostly not on proving something but on the struggle with terrorism. And this information is being used precisely for the struggle with terrorism,” Peskov said without elaborating. TASS, Dec. 1, 2015

If it’s true what everyone suggests, that the real driving force behind the CIA’s creation ISIS™, is Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (as ridiculous as that sounds) and he’s the one who plotted to shoot down the Russian jet in order to protect his son’s oil-stealing business (even more ridiculous considering who’s really profiting from the oil), then why wouldn’t Russia provide the proof and get Erdoğan out of the way?

After all, it was Erdoğan who staged the Sarin gas attack in Syria a couple years back to provide Obama with his “red-line”… right?

And it was Erdoğan who was sending “ebil Islamists” into Russia to destabilize that country (a close ally of Turkey’s) for some unknown reason… right?

Wasn’t that Erdoğan I saw in that video from Rita Katz’ production studio where they made all those fake beheading videos? I bet it was.

Heck, I bet if you look close enough, you’ll find Erdoğan’s passport in the Paris nightclub.

So wouldn’t that be consistent with Russia’s stated goal of using the intel in their “struggle with terrorism” if they produced the evidence and ran Erdoğan out of town on a rail? He’s the ISIS™ kingpin, right?

Perhaps Russia didn’t produce the evidence they have because it shows exactly what that report from Al-Araby shows. That the oil runs from areas where the Kurds are supposedly “fighting ISIS™” directly to Iraqi Kurdistan where it is heated up, slightly processed and then transferred to Kurdistan Regional Government tankers and drums so it can cross into Turkey, on route to places like Israel, without being flagged by Turkish officials. Indistinguishable from oil taken from Kurdistan in Iraq legitimately.

Whatever the reason was that Russia backed off their threat to expose those really profiting from the stolen oil, it’s my contention that President Erdoğan made that offer in order to protect the Justice and Development (AK) Party. If he were to take the blame and step down, it would be harder for the Gulenists to use the current turmoil in the country to demand a full on regime change, ousting the recently re-elected AKP from power.

Whatever the motives involved in this ongoing drama, the result is that President Erdoğan called the Russian’s bluff and for whatever reason, they decided to keep their evidence secret. Personally I think the Russians should publish everything they have on the stealing of Syrian oil showing exactly who is profiting from it and where it is going.

As a side note:

I found an interesting article on the Wall Street Journal from back in October of 2013.

Frankly, I am no supporter of President Erdoğan’s policy toward regime change in Syria. Whether or not it’s he who is running the support system to a number of terrorists in Syria or his CIA-linked intelligence services or his NATO-linked military leadership… is beside the point. He personally has the political clout to put an end to it, and for that reason alone (no, he’s not sending “Islamists” to Russia and he didn’t use Sarin gas in Syria, that was Brennan you idiots) it’s hard for me to do what I do in support of his continued influence in Turkey. But of course, I always er on the side of democracy and his party was re-elected and things are getting better for the average Turk. So to that end, I stand against this growing regime change propaganda agenda.

Now, that said, let’s take a quick peek at what was written in the Wall Street Journal 2 years ago.

Mr. Erdogan wanted to remove Mr. Assad not only to replace a hostile regime on Turkey’s borders but also to scuttle the prospect of a Kurdish state emerging from Syria’s oil-rich northeast, political analysts say

Syrian Kurdish leaders, meanwhile, charge that Ankara allowed arms and support to reach radical groups that could check the expanding power of Kurdish militia aligned with Turkey’s militant Kurdistan Workers’ Party. Wall Street Journal, Oct. 2010

Greater Kurdistan anyone?

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25 Responses

  1. I must be too dumb to comprehend your whole idea. This is just another respectful request for clarification about your conception of the shoot-down. Maybe a separate article on the shoot down would help a lot too.

    Am I getting it correct that you’re implying that rogue elements in the Turkish military, who are out of Erdogan’s control, ordered the shoot down to protect the illicit oil transfers (or something else) on behalf of Israel, but that Erdogan nonetheless has to make it look like there’s no internal power struggle going on between him and his military so that’s why he allowed his government to appear to take credit for the actions of some rogue pro-Israel Turkish military factions? Are you implying that Erdogan’s government (maybe not him personally) would not have caused the plane to be shot down?

    If I’ve got that part of your theory correct, wouldn’t one shoot-down be totally insufficient to stem the tide of Russian destruction of illicit oil convoys? Wouldn’t Turkey have to keep shooting down Russian planes to achieve any appreciable reduction of the totality of Russian attacks on illicit oil movements toward their Iraqi Kurdistan relay points? For that matter, wouldn’t Turkey have to keep shooting down Russian planes to have any significant effect on any of Russia’s activities including their defense of Assad’s regime?

    What does shooting down just one plane achieve? I can’t see how it could cause any trepidation or fear in the Russians in any way. They can keep the planes coming no matter what Turkey does. It seems like shooting down just one plane would cause far more trouble than it was worth, especially since nobody appears to think that the Russian plane was threatening anything in Turkey.

    I’m wondering whether the shoot down was merely a one-off action to protect a specific group of NATO or Turkey-affiliated agents on the ground in just that one instance, who were in immediate danger of getting killed by the plane. Is it possible some NATO or Turkish element just told the Turks to shoot it down as an immediate expedient to save some high-value operation just that once, to give the operatives time to scramble back to safety in Turkey? And that they were simply willing to take whatever ‘heat’ ensued because they thought in that one situation it was worth it.

    I’m sure I’m too dumb, but I don’t quite understand why the plane was shot down under your scenario and who you’re thinking ordered it for what reason. One plane shoot-down doesn’t seem to benefit anyone except maybe a specific group on the ground at that specific instant. Who in Turkey wants to piss off the Russians that badly? Americans? Israelis? Turks?

    • “Am I getting it correct that you’re implying that rogue elements in the Turkish military, who are out of Erdogan’s control, ordered the shoot down to protect the illicit oil transfers (or something else) on behalf of Israel, but that Erdogan nonetheless has to make it look like there’s no internal power struggle going on between him and his military so that’s why he allowed his government to appear to take credit for the actions of some rogue pro-Israel Turkish military factions? Are you implying that Erdogan’s government (maybe not him personally) would not have caused the plane to be shot down?”

      I think I have proven there is certainly a power struggle taking place in Turkey right now. The fact that this is all taking place at the exact same time the new government was announced and is taking shape is not to be ignored. The fact that the Gulenists are hard at work trying to infiltrate the government of Turkey as well as the military should also not be ignored. And the ongoing campaign to demonize Erdogan (just like Gaddafi, Assad and Putin before him) in the pro-Israel media at this particular moment in time, should also not be ignored. That is to say NOTHING of the fact that the 250 or so conspirators in the Sledgehammer coup plot were just released back in May and this current situation looks an awful lot like that. When they stage fake shooting events like they did with that Kurdish lawyer, that’s kind of a dead giveaway that something is afoot.

      As to your question about who in Turkey wants to piss off Russia… I think I have also shown how Erdogan, though once a firm believer in the neoliberal economic ideology, has taken a bit of a turn to the socialist side. Just a bit. But, more importantly, as of 2013 (when the demonization really started) he refused to sign another IMF deal and has held to that position (and based on the situation in Ukraine, we know what happens when they do that)

      If you remember Gladio (and I am sure you do) it was all about keeping various countries from leaning too far to the left. Turkey was one of those countries and there is a long history of Gladio operations and terror campaigns in Turkey that make a direct connection between the country and the program.

      And what happened in Dec. 2014? Turkey signs a deal with Putin for the Turkish Stream pipeline.

      And what happened since then? Turkey not only refused to sign on to the sanctions regime against Russia, they actually promised to increase their trade with the country 3 fold in the next 5 years.

      So… who want’s to break the ties between Turkey and Russia? Who wants the left leaning (not really leftist) party out of power? Well, the usual suspects I suppose. Like the billionaire who owns the company that made the fake assassination video or the billionaires who own the media outlets that have been spreading lies on top of lies about Erdogan.

      It doesn’t HAVE to be US, British or Israeli interests pulling the strings.

      Think about the billionaires who created the Business Plot of 1934 right here in this country. Think about their motives.

  2. Let me clarify my conjecture a bit more:

    let’s say for purposes of discussion that there were some American or French special ops guys on the ground there in Syria by the Turkish border, who were up to something that wouldn’t jive so well with our supposed ‘anti-terrorist cooperation’ with the Russians, and who were about to get blown to bits by the Russian plane.

    The Americans couldn’t shoot down the Russian plane to save them because that would put the lie to all kinds of US/NATO claims. The French or the Israelis couldn’t shoot down the Russian plane either for the same reason – it would be an act of aggression against Russia that would be very hard to explain or justify.

    The only actor who would have any kind of plausible phony reason to shoot down the Russian plane would have to be Turkey because they are the only ones who would have an adequate cover story – that they were “defending their airspace” (unbelievable though that may actually be, it would seem at least marginally plausible). Nobody but the Turks would be in a position to shoot down the plane without putting the lie to a whole lot of the US/NATO story, or worse, ending US/Russian cooperation, or starting WWIII, or anything in between.

    That would account for a one-off shoot down by Turkey that seems hard to explain otherwise.

    • There is another possibility which I will explain later, one that’s not getting much attention but is certainly worth considering.

      I think what you suggest is possible, but from what I understand… the Russian fighter had already struck it’s targets and was on the way back to base when shot down. So your special ops guys, US, French or otherwise (Israeli?) would have already been hit.

      Your suggestion also seems to suggest it was a reaction to a threat as opposed to what I believe most understand now to have been a premeditated act, meaning the Turkish fighter was waiting for the Russian jet.

      I think the clue here is not so much the oil but rather what Turkey is really doing on that border. Maybe they aren’t fighting Assad and supporting “ISIS”. Maybe, they are there fighting the Kurds to keep them from taking a piece of Syria before they end up moving to the next target… Turkey. Maybe it’s just that simple and after all, back in 2013, that’s what Erdogan was saying, isn’t it?

      I don’t know. The Russians say they were targeting Chechnians and Russian ex-pats on that border, so why would Turkey care if they did that? I don’t know. My guess is the US and NATO put the Turkish military up to it in order to destabilize the relationship between Russia and Turkey as well as the nation of Turkey itself in preparation for regime change. That’s where I started with this and I have yet to see anything that changed my mind on the subject…

      however… the shoot down might be something else entirely.

      • Interesting – I like the theory that Turkey was possibly hitting back at the Russians for attacking a Turkish anti-Kurd ground op. Basically just to punish the Russians, but it doesn’t seem to meet my test that Turkey would have nothing really to gain because Russia can keep attacking any Turkish anti-Kurd ground ops with relative impunity since they are in Syria. Turkey would not be able to keep shooting down Russian planes to protect their ground op, so that theory seems fraught. But maybe not – maybe it’s just a macho thing by Turkey and even though it does nothing, Turkey just decided to hit them to let them know how pissed they are without having any real expectation of being able to keep it up.

      • In that same vein, the shoot down may have functioned to appease his western-leaning internal military rivals so they don’t overthrow him as soon as they otherwise might – to show them that he backs them enough to retaliate against Russia for their destroyed ground op. That would help to explain why he took credit for it…but it’s still pretty confusing. Curiouser and curiouser.

  3. you are so full of shit…
    turkey now running cia? fuck off retard

  4. Who’s saying “Turkey” is buying “ISIS” oil. ERDOGAN is buying “ISIS” oil, via his son, Bilal, and transporting it to Israel. Turkey is simply the location of the purchase and one of the countries the oil passes through.

  5. […] Willyloman – Erdoğan Calls Putin’s Bluff: Russia Backs Down […]

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